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Thomas Kuhn, the author of the 1962 controversial treatise, The
Structure of Scientific Revolutions opened public discourse (and
fierce, often polarized debate and acrimony) around the prevailing
historicism-laced linear progressive world view. Defiant in the face of a Cold War context of
manifest destiny in which ‘progress’
was both dogmatic ideology and the battle cry for iconoclasts, his suggestion
that revolutions were punctuations (‘paradigm shifts’) created by intellectual
dissonance with incumbent systems was heretical and, well, come to think of it,
revolutionary. Most troubling for the
purveyors of institutionally coalesced ‘knowledge’ – a.k.a. scientists
– was his positing that endless pursuit of anomaly resolution (resolution of
error from which expertise is derived and lauded) was unlikely to be the
proximate cause for breakthroughs.
Revolution, he suggested, comes from those who challenge assumptions
rather than from those who refine precision around consensus.
When we observe the entire incapacitation of the current
masters of economy and industry – be they Central Bankers, Finance Ministers,
Economists, or Corporate Titans – in their collective inability to assess the
direction, duration, and scale of current economic dislocations, we could
conclude that the “revolutionary” inflection is upon us. This inflection, according to Kuhn, would
suggest that what will emerge is an “incommensurable” set of methods and
metrics heretofore unknown or unperceived.
Applying a modicum of discernment to our present socioeconomic
paralysis, one can clearly see that our Pythagorean obsession with the ‘created
order’ being essentially a numeric inevitability gives us no
escape from our numerically constrained archetypes and memes.
Kuhn’s inquiry, taken together with his critics’ analysis of
his work, collectively seem to conspicuously ignore one artifact –
NUMBERS. In all of my blog posts of
late, I’ve toiled to admonish us to find the unquestioned assumption upon which
the balance of our experience and understanding is poised and, once found,
jiggle the fulcrum and see what happens.
Like an engineer balancing a spinning turbine; like a piano tuner
seeking perfect pitch; one can apprehend coherence and frictionless function
best by willfully introducing dissonance and then tuning it away. To that end, I would like to propose the
following:
The stronger the impulse to enumerate, the greater absence of trust.
Let us explore this for a moment. Whether for Euclidean metrics to describe;
King David’s egoic impulse to count and conscript; Pharaonic and Persian
mandates to tax; or Newtonian requirements to codify finitude; the impulse to
number bridges the sacred and profane with remarkable consistence throughout
much of humanity’s collective expressions.
Through numbers we can limit and delimit; we can compare and contrast;
and, under the euphemism called ‘the scientific method’, we can compute
divination and regress our world into a series of statistically reproducible
dogmatically held postulates. Challenge the
assumption that humanity and its ‘progress’ requires numbers and you’ve entered
the Olympian Halls as a mere mortal.
I had the good fortune of sitting with one of the world’s
most respected quant traders a few years ago and demonstrated what was possible
when you understood market dynamics with intent-based linguistic analysis
rather than using the nine degrees of freedom (the statistical principle of the
number random vectors in an expression or model prior to the final
deterministic completion of a model or set) by which numerical analysis is
constrained. The 25 degrees of freedom
afforded by the alphabet and the nearly 1.013 million degrees of freedom
afforded by words in global use today far surpasses any numerically constrained
model and, when deployed, gives far superior understanding of market
dynamics. However, whether it’s 9, 25,
or 1.013 million degrees of freedom by which we enumerate and denominate, we’re
still limiting our understanding when we’re constrained by finite symbols
(numbers, letters, or words).
So back to Thomas Kuhn: why is it that neither he, nor Karl
Popper (one of his great critics), nor any of his other critics were willing to
challenge the concept that, through the applications of numbers, we may have
actually extinguished human potential rather than seeing its
progress? After all, some of the
greatest puzzles which plague modern self-proclaimed ‘scientists’ is how
pre-linguistically recorded civilizations achieved great feats of navigation,
architecture, and communication “without numbers” or “without knowing about
zero”. Could it be possible that they
achieved these wonders because they didn’t have numbers?
Now all of this becomes quite relevant when we realize that
numbers serve a very important role in our social systems and their possible
irrelevance (or even the contemplation thereof) can be quite
disconcerting. We’re sure that we need
numbers. But, I would suggest that our
“need” for numbers is inversely correlated to our access to and acceptance of TRUST. Certainty, laws, science, wealth, identity,
power, and faith all hinge on numbers and their control. If one had absolute confidence in the
perpetual source of animating energy in the universe – as propagator,
transmitter, and consumer in simultaneity – than the need to constrain or
describe anything would be rendered obsolete. It’s when we lack confidence in the
undeniable and absolute abundance of universal energy – when we need to
harness, control, or lord over the same – that enumeration is perceived as necessary. And when this shows up in the microcosm of
economics and currency, the postulate seems to be reinforced. My desire for a “stored unit of value” – the
consensus definition of money – is a proxy for my inability to TRUST that
future performance will be remembered, much less honored. By introducing the surrogate of an artifact
of value storage and exchange, I’m stating that the TRUST between transacting
parties is untrustworthy when compared to the confidence in an inanimate
consensus artifact. The artifact, which
can only express value when used in a community sharing a consensus illusion
is, by definition, a paradox. Since I don’t trust you, I’ll trust a system
in which we share an illusion where a disembodied enumeration instrument has
more “faith and confidence” than the individuated actors in the system.
You want to try something fun? Try a day without numbers. See what happens when you show up without
metrics or constraints. See what happens
when all you have to deploy in transaction with others is yourself and your
TRUST. Try it and then let me know if
this may be the fulcrum of our society’s undoing and the infinite mass through
which something essentially new and human might be born.
My dear friend and colleague Richard David Hames published a great companion discussion on his Five Literacies blog at http://fiveliteracies.typepad.com/richard_hames/2012/05/dichotomies.html
My dear friend and colleague Richard David Hames published a great companion discussion on his Five Literacies blog at http://fiveliteracies.typepad.com/richard_hames/2012/05/dichotomies.html